眾所周知，過去的兩三天內(nèi)發(fā)生了許多大事小事，緊急加錄一期美輪美換談?wù)撎乩势沼龃痰氖虑?。（某種意義上來說，是昨日文章的補(bǔ)充）

很湊巧的是，這周三還和老朋友lark老師跨界聊了聊特朗普二進(jìn)宮對烏克蘭軍援和美國未來外交政策的影響，剛好也算是撞上了個新聞，一并發(fā)來給大家參考。

播客RSS地址：

https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/trump-rally-shooting

https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/6693e81d37236c546e15cea6

【聊了什么】

7月13日，前總統(tǒng)特朗普在賓夕法尼亞州巴特勒舉行集會時，現(xiàn)場發(fā)生槍擊案，特朗普右耳上部被擊中。槍手在現(xiàn)場被特勤局擊斃，槍擊造成一名現(xiàn)場觀眾死亡。目前槍擊案正被作為對特朗普的暗殺未遂進(jìn)行調(diào)查。

我們在事件后第一時間錄制了一起播客，對此事件及其影響進(jìn)行了分析。我們還對歷史上發(fā)生的針對美國總統(tǒng)的暴力事件進(jìn)行了回顧。

本期播客錄制于美國東部時間2024年7月14日下午，播客錄制后事件可能會有新的發(fā)展。

【支持我們】

如果喜歡這期節(jié)目并希望支持我們將節(jié)目繼續(xù)做下去：歡迎加入我們最新推出的會員計劃：https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/

眾籌平臺鏈接：

• Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette

• 愛發(fā)電 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿郵箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【時間軸】

00:00:24 槍擊事件回顧

00:01:18 特朗普遭刺殺未遂對選情的影響

00:05:58 美國總統(tǒng)和總統(tǒng)候選人是世界上風(fēng)險最高的職位

00:08:57 四年前和八年前民調(diào)的偏差

00:10:17 特朗普遭刺殺未遂讓共和黨空前團(tuán)結(jié)

00:11:43 黨代會引發(fā)的民調(diào)上揚

00:15:38 歸根結(jié)底還在于搖擺選民

00:16:36 刺殺未遂重新定義特朗普的競選形象

00:20:59 事件后續(xù)發(fā)展和兩黨反應(yīng)相關(guān)

00:26:46 事件減輕了拜登被要求退選的壓力

00:28:40 拜登團(tuán)隊和奧巴馬團(tuán)隊的嫌隙

00:35:37 共和黨和保守派對此事的反應(yīng)和敘事

00:39:01 政治暗殺事件在美國歷史上頻頻發(fā)生

00:46:13 對特朗普副總統(tǒng)人選的影響

【我們是誰】

美輪美換是一檔深入探討當(dāng)今美國政治的中文播客。

我們的主播和嘉賓：

王浩嵐：美國政治愛好者，嵐目公眾號主筆兼消息二道販子 Talich：美國政治和文化歷史愛好者

【 What We Talked About】

On July 13, former President Trump was shot during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. He sustained an injury to his upper right ear. The gunman was neutralized by Secret Service agents at the scene. The incident also resulted in the death of one rally attendee. Authorities are currently investigating the shooting as an attempted assassination of the former president.

We recorded this podcast shortly after the event to provide a timely analysis of the incident and its potential implications. Additionally, we offer a historical perspective by reviewing past incidents of violence against U.S. presidents and presidential candidates.

This episode was recorded on the afternoon of July 14, 2024, Eastern Time. The situation may have evolved since the recording of this episode.

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【Timeline】

00:00:24 Overview of the shooting at Trump rally

00:01:18 How the assassination attempt affects Trump's campaign

00:05:58 U.S. Presidents and candidates face world's highest security risks

00:08:57 Analyzing polls from 4 and 8 years ago

00:10:17 GOP rallies behind Trump following assassination attempt

00:11:43 Post-convention bounce in the polls

00:15:38 Swing voters remain the deciding factor

00:16:36 Assassination attempt reshapes Trump's campaign narrative

00:20:59 Responses from Democrats and Republicans

00:26:46 Pressure on Biden to drop out eases after the incident

00:28:40 Friction between Biden and Obama camps

00:35:37 How Republicans and conservatives frame the incident

00:39:01 A look at political assassination attempts throughout U.S. history

00:46:13 Potential impact on Trump's VP pick

【W(wǎng)ho We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests:

王浩嵐 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history

【拓展鏈接】

特朗普因遇刺“穩(wěn)了”？學(xué)者：可以參考43年前的里根遇刺 https://ishare.ifeng.com/c/s/v004jQUyxY7TELtgeS-_5Kxqq0oX4RSJw86rpRB7xUGnC--KQ__?spss=np&channelId=&aman=a1afdbD0d1Ebb4dd3cTe87Vdd4k25be219W4d5wdeb&gud=54a5958657

019 | 災(zāi)難性的辯論之后，拜登輸定了嗎？Can Biden Survive the Disastrous Debate? https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/presidential-debate-biden-replacement