趕緊趁著還沒完全過時把上周末錄得播客轉(zhuǎn)發(fā)一下。

目前原黨內(nèi)二號人物斯卡利斯以113：99擊敗了吉姆·喬丹贏下黨內(nèi)的議長提名。然而，目前共和黨諸多議員跳出來反對斯卡利斯，尚不知斯卡利斯能否鎖定當(dāng)選議長所必須的217票。

美國政府關(guān)門危機(jī)暫時緩解，議長麥卡錫卻成了美國史上第一位被趕下臺的議長。

【聊了什么】

在短短幾天時間內(nèi)，美國政壇最大的危機(jī)從政府長期關(guān)門轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)樽h長凱文·麥卡錫被罷免。這兩場危機(jī)折射出美國政治生態(tài)怎樣的變化？陷入停擺的眾議院將何去何從？

【支持我們】

如果喜歡這期節(jié)目并希望支持我們將節(jié)目繼續(xù)做下去：

眾籌平臺鏈接：www.patreon.com/americanroulette

合作投稿郵箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【時間軸】

00:58 國會撥款程序如何讓美國政府頻頻陷入關(guān)門危機(jī)

06:19 今年撥款案的核心矛盾

09:43 關(guān)門危機(jī)如何從兩黨矛盾演變成共和黨內(nèi)斗

23:47 “委員會中心主義”

25:37 兩黨的不對稱極化和政府關(guān)門對民意的影響

39:35 麥卡錫的命運(yùn)從2022中期選舉就注定了

49:55 麥卡錫和極右翼議員的恩恩怨怨

54:43 麥卡錫去意已決？

01:11:43 未來議長選舉的分析和預(yù)測

01:24:17 弱勢議長的未來

【我們是誰】

美輪美換是一檔深入探討當(dāng)今美國政治的中文播客。

美輪美換的前身是“選·美 iAmElection”，一檔由游天龍、talich、林垚、莊巧祎等人于2015年創(chuàng)立的中文播客，選·美聚集了一群關(guān)心美國政治的學(xué)者、律師、媒體人、觀察者和愛好者，在2016年大選前后吸引了大量的聽眾和讀者，成為一檔現(xiàn)象級的播客。2020年大選前，talich等人重新推出了“美輪美換”，更新了16集。2023年，新一輪美國大選即將開始，我們決定將選·美和美輪美換的傳統(tǒng)延續(xù)下去，推出新版的“美輪美換”播客。

我們的主播和嘉賓：

Talich：美國政治/文化歷史愛好者

曹起曈：美國政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)PhD，政治行為研究者

王浩嵐：美國政治愛好者，嵐目公眾號主筆兼消息二道販子

寄馀生：比較政治愛好者

本期節(jié)目由小華制作，封面設(shè)計來自歡祺，本期的音頻編輯是小華。美輪美換是一檔由百花傳媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】

Within just a few days, the biggest crisis in U.S. politics shifted from a potential prolonged government shutdown to the ousting of Speaker Kevin McCarthy. What do these two crises reveal about the changes in the American political landscape? And what lies ahead for the gridlocked House of Representatives?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【Timeline】

00:58 How the congressional appropriation process leads to the frequent shutdown crisis of the U.S. Government

06:19 The focus of this year's appropriation bills

09:43 How the shutdown crisis evolved from a conflict between the two parties to infighting within the Republican Party

23:47 “Committee autonomy”

25:37 Asymmetric polarization and how public opinion reacts to government shutdowns

39:35 Speaker McCarthy's fate was sealed in the 2022 midterm elections

49:55 The love-hate affair between McCarthy and far-right Republicans

54:43 Had McCarthy already made up his mind to leave?

01:11:43 Analysis and predictions for the incoming speaker elections

01:24:17 The future of a weak speakership

【W(wǎng)ho We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美輪美換" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美輪美換” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美輪美換 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher

王浩嵐 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast

This episode is produced by Xiao Hua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Xiao Hua. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

【拓展鏈接 The Links】

從政府關(guān)門危機(jī)到議長被罷免：美國國會陷入了怎樣的失靈狀況？｜端傳媒

Inside McCarthy’s Shutdown Turnabout That Left His Speakership at Risk - The New York Times